La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sport Recife v Ceará
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sport Recife (Local)
Predicción 42.08%2.38momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -2.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.76%42.14%42.19%45.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.202.202.2950.00%45.46%45.45%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ceará (Visitante)
Predicción 27.78%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -0.712%
Kelly -0.995%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.78%27.76%27.60%29.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.273.253.5132.26%30.57%30.77%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.14%3.32momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -0.817%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.93%30.10%30.21%31.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.083.103.2335.71%32.47%32.26%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.64%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -2.50%E -0.712%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.55%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 20:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 20:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.56%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.56%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.22%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -8.37%E -2.75%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 20:40 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 20:37 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 20:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 20:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -7.85%E -3.58%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.40%EV -8.61%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.93%EV -2.64%E -0.817%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 20:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 20:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -13.33%E -4.27%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 20:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 20:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-03 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-03 20:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 20:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |