语言:简体中文
Operario PR v Vila Nova
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Operario PR (主队)
预测 39.82%2.51公平赔率
EV -3.23%
优势 -1.33%
Kelly -2.26%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.43
博彩公司预测分布
38.35%39.89%39.81%42.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.292.302.4346.51%43.62%43.48%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
Vila Nova (客队)
预测 29.22%3.42公平赔率
EV -0.645%
优势 -0.190%
Kelly -0.269%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
26.78%29.18%29.24%31.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.153.153.4035.09%31.70%31.75%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 30.95%3.23公平赔率
EV -4.04%
优势 -1.30%
Kelly -1.92%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.00%30.93%30.95%31.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.942.953.1035.71%34.05%33.90%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Operario PR (主队)：39.82%；Vila Nova (客队)：29.22%；平局：30.95%。 对于“Vila Nova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.42。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.40，期望值为-0.645%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.57%EV -3.23%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.79%EV -2.40%E -0.718%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.63%EV -5.90%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.29%EV -6.78%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.78%EV -8.99%E -3.06%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.02%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -8.37%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.02%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -8.37%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -16.72%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.40%EV -6.81%E -2.91%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 20:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -8.01%E -3.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -9.92%E -3.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 20:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 20:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 20:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -9.20%E -4.04%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 19:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 20:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 20:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-23 20:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 20:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -13.19%E -6.05%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -13.19%E -6.05%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -14.38%E -6.69%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -0.645%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |