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Operario PR v Vila Nova
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Operario PR (Хозяева)
Прогноз 39.82%2.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.23%
Преимущество -1.33%
Kelly -2.26%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.43
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.35%39.89%39.81%42.35%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.152.292.302.4346.51%43.62%43.48%41.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Vila Nova (Гости)
Прогноз 29.22%3.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.645%
Преимущество -0.190%
Kelly -0.269%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.78%29.18%29.24%31.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.853.153.153.4035.09%31.70%31.75%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 30.95%3.23справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.04%
Преимущество -1.30%
Kelly -1.92%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.00%30.93%30.95%31.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.802.942.953.1035.71%34.05%33.90%32.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Operario PR (Хозяева): 39.82%; Vila Nova (Гости): 29.22%; Ничья: 30.95%. Для исхода «Vila Nova (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.42. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.40, математическое ожидание — -0.645%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.57%EV -3.23%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.79%EV -2.40%E -0.718%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.63%EV -5.90%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.29%EV -6.78%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.78%EV -8.99%E -3.06%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.02%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -8.37%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.02%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -8.37%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -16.72%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.40%EV -6.81%E -2.91%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 20:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -8.01%E -3.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -9.92%E -3.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 20:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 20:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 20:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -9.20%E -4.04%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 19:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 20:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 20:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-23 20:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 20:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -13.19%E -6.05%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -13.19%E -6.05%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -14.38%E -6.69%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -0.645%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |