StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Operario PR v Vila Nova

Matchstart: 2026-08-23 21:03 UTC

Slutresultat: Operario PR 0–0 Vila Nova

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Operario PR (Hemma)

Prognos 39.82%2.51rättvist odds
EV -3.23%
Fördel -1.33%
Kelly -2.26%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.43

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.35%39.89%39.81%42.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.292.302.4346.51%43.62%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vila Nova (Borta)

Prognos 29.22%3.42rättvist odds
EV -0.645%
Fördel -0.190%
Kelly -0.269%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.78%29.18%29.24%31.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.853.153.153.4035.09%31.70%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.95%3.23rättvist odds
EV -4.04%
Fördel -1.30%
Kelly -1.92%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.00%30.93%30.95%31.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.802.942.953.1035.71%34.05%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Operario PR (Hemma): 39.82%; Vila Nova (Borta): 29.22%; Oavgjort: 30.95%. För Vila Nova (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.42. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.40, med väntevärdet -0.645%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.57%EV -3.23%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.79%EV -2.40%E -0.718%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.63%EV -5.90%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 20:49
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 20:49
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.29%EV -6.78%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.78%EV -8.99%E -3.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 20:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.02%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -8.37%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 20:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.02%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -8.37%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 20:39
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 20:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:54
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -16.72%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 17:19
Bovada🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.40%EV -6.81%E -2.91%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 20:38
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 20:54
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 20:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 20:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 20:49
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 20:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 20:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -8.01%E -3.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -9.92%E -3.41%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 20:34
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:45
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:48
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:45
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 20:54
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 20:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 20:49
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 20:54
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 20:54
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 20:29
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 20:49
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 20:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 20:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 20:25
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 20:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -9.20%E -4.04%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 19:04
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 20:34
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 20:34
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 20:24
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 20:24
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 20:29
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 20:49
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 20:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 20:49
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-23 20:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -13.19%E -6.05%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 20:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -13.19%E -6.05%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 20:49
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -14.38%E -6.69%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -0.645%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 20:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-08-23 20:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-08-23 20:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-08-23 20:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-08-23 20:49
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-08-23 20:54