Idioma:Español
Operario PR v Vila Nova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Operario PR (Local)
Predicción 39.82%2.51momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.35%39.89%39.81%42.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.292.302.4346.51%43.62%43.48%41.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Vila Nova (Visitante)
Predicción 29.22%3.42momio equitativo
EV -0.645%
Ventaja -0.190%
Kelly -0.269%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.78%29.18%29.24%31.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.153.153.4035.09%31.70%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.95%3.23momio equitativo
EV -4.04%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.00%30.93%30.95%31.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.802.942.953.1035.71%34.05%33.90%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Operario PR (Local): 39.82%; Vila Nova (Visitante): 29.22%; Empate: 30.95%. Para Vila Nova (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.42. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.40, con un valor esperado de -0.645%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.57%EV -3.23%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.79%EV -2.40%E -0.718%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.63%EV -5.90%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.29%EV -6.78%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.78%EV -8.99%E -3.06%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.02%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -8.37%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.02%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -8.37%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -16.72%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.40%EV -6.81%E -2.91%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 20:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -8.01%E -3.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -9.92%E -3.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 20:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 20:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 20:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -9.20%E -4.04%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 19:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 20:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 20:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-23 20:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 20:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -13.19%E -6.05%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -13.19%E -6.05%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -14.38%E -6.69%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -0.645%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |