Langue:Français
Operario PR v Vila Nova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Operario PR (Local)
Prévision 39.82%2.51cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -2.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.35%39.89%39.81%42.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.292.302.4346.51%43.62%43.48%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Vila Nova (Visiteur)
Prévision 29.22%3.42cote équitable
EV -0.645%
Avantage -0.190%
Kelly -0.269%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.78%29.18%29.24%31.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.153.153.4035.09%31.70%31.75%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 30.95%3.23cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.00%30.93%30.95%31.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.942.953.1035.71%34.05%33.90%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Operario PR (Local) : 39.82% ; Vila Nova (Visiteur) : 29.22% ; Match nul : 30.95%. Pour Vila Nova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.42. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.40, pour une espérance de -0.645% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.57%EV -3.23%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.79%EV -2.40%E -0.718%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.63%EV -5.90%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.29%EV -6.78%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.78%EV -8.99%E -3.06%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.02%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -8.37%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.02%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -8.37%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -16.72%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.40%EV -6.81%E -2.91%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 20:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -8.01%E -3.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -9.92%E -3.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 20:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 20:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 20:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.41%E -3.65%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -9.20%E -4.04%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 19:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 20:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 20:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-23 20:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 20:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -13.19%E -6.05%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -13.19%E -6.05%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -14.38%E -6.69%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -0.645%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |