Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Operario PR v São Bernardo

2026-08-07 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Operario PR (Local)

Prediction 52.68%1.90fair odd
EV -5.18%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -6.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.71%52.52%52.52%53.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.05%56.98%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

São Bernardo (Visit)

Prediction 19.57%5.11fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.98%19.53%19.57%20.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.664.654.8522.99%21.48%21.51%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.76%3.60fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -0.815%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%27.96%27.90%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.303.5032.26%30.50%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.99%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 14:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.99%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.99%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 14:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.99%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 14:05
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.08%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.67%EV -7.25%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 15:25
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.38%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.06%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 15:25
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -6.08%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -2.85%E -0.815%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.82%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.06%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.85%E -0.815%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 13:50
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -9.40%E -5.46%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -5.10%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.02%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 13:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -9.40%E -5.46%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -5.10%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.02%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 13:35
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.18%EV -9.40%E -5.46%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -14.89%E -3.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-29 13:50
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.57%EV -9.92%E -5.80%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV -8.04%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-29 13:33
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -10.45%E -6.15%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -11.95%E -2.66%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-29 13:56
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -10.45%E -6.15%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -11.95%E -2.66%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-29 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.