Language:English
Operario PR v São Bernardo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Operario PR (Local)
Prediction 48.24%2.07fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.53%48.30%48.22%50.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.912.0155.56%52.35%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
São Bernardo (Visit)
Prediction 23.10%4.33fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -0.710%
Kelly -0.932%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.52%23.09%23.03%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.944.004.2027.78%25.35%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.67%3.49fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.47%28.61%28.75%29.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.213.203.3532.26%31.17%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Operario PR (Local): 48.24%; São Bernardo (Visit): 23.10%; Draw: 28.67%. For São Bernardo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -2.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.87%EV -3.05%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.97%EV -3.21%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -5.46%E -2.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.42%E -3.31%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -6.42%E -3.31%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.93%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.20%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 22:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.39%E -3.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-07 21:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.84%E -4.67%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.10%EV -8.84%E -4.67%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.91%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.91%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -13.18%E -7.32%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.95% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
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