Язык:Русский
Operario PR v São Bernardo
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Operario PR (Хозяева)
Прогноз 48.24%2.07справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.05%
Преимущество -1.52%
Kelly -3.02%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.01
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.53%48.30%48.22%50.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.801.911.912.0155.56%52.35%52.36%49.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
São Bernardo (Гости)
Прогноз 23.10%4.33справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.98%
Преимущество -0.710%
Kelly -0.932%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.52%23.09%23.03%24.94%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.944.004.2027.78%25.35%25.00%23.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.67%3.49справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.97%
Преимущество -1.19%
Kelly -1.69%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.35
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.47%28.61%28.75%29.72%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.213.203.3532.26%31.17%31.25%29.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Operario PR (Хозяева): 48.24%; São Bernardo (Гости): 23.10%; Ничья: 28.67%. Для исхода «São Bernardo (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.33. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 4.20, математическое ожидание — -2.98%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.87%EV -3.05%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.97%EV -3.21%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -5.46%E -2.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.42%E -3.31%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -6.42%E -3.31%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.93%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.20%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 22:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.39%E -3.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-07 21:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.84%E -4.67%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.10%EV -8.84%E -4.67%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.91%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.91%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -13.18%E -7.32%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.95% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |