默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Operario PR v São Bernardo

开赛时间: 2026-08-07 22:30 UTC

最终结果: Operario PR 1–3 São Bernardo

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Operario PR (主队)

预测 48.24%2.07公平赔率
EV -3.05%
优势 -1.52%
Kelly -3.02%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.01

博彩公司预测分布
46.53%48.30%48.22%50.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.911.912.0155.56%52.35%52.36%49.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

São Bernardo (客队)

预测 23.10%4.33公平赔率
EV -2.98%
优势 -0.710%
Kelly -0.932%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
21.52%23.09%23.03%24.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.944.004.2027.78%25.35%25.00%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.67%3.49公平赔率
EV -3.97%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -1.69%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.35

博彩公司预测分布
27.47%28.61%28.75%29.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.213.203.3532.26%31.17%31.25%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Operario PR (主队):48.24%;São Bernardo (客队):23.10%;平局:28.67%。 对于“São Bernardo (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.33。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为4.20,期望值为-2.98%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.87%EV -3.05%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.97%EV -3.21%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 22:05
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -5.46%E -2.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 22:04
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 22:00
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 21:40
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 21:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 21:40
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.42%E -3.31%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -6.42%E -3.31%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.93%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.20%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:05
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:05
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:05
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:05
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:05
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 22:09
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.39%E -3.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 22:05
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 19:45
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-07 22:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 05:41
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 22:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 19:45
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 19:45
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 22:05
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 21:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.84%E -4.67%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 19:45
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.10%EV -8.84%E -4.67%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 21:40
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 22:05
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-06 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.91%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 22:05
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.91%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-07 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-07 22:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -13.18%E -7.32%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 22:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-08-07 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-07 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-07 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-07 22:05
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.95%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80%2.1%2026-08-07 22:05