Idioma:Español
Operario PR v São Bernardo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Operario PR (Local)
Predicción 48.24%2.07momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -3.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.53%48.30%48.22%50.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.911.912.0155.56%52.35%52.36%49.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
São Bernardo (Visitante)
Predicción 23.10%4.33momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -0.710%
Kelly -0.932%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.52%23.09%23.03%24.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.944.004.2027.78%25.35%25.00%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.67%3.49momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.47%28.61%28.75%29.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.213.203.3532.26%31.17%31.25%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Operario PR (Local): 48.24%; São Bernardo (Visitante): 23.10%; Empate: 28.67%. Para São Bernardo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.33. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.20, con un valor esperado de -2.98%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.87%EV -3.05%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.97%EV -3.21%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -5.46%E -2.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.42%E -3.31%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -6.42%E -3.31%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.93%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.20%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 22:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.39%E -3.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-07 21:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.84%E -4.67%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.10%EV -8.84%E -4.67%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.91%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.91%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -13.18%E -7.32%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.95% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |