Langue:Français
Operario PR v São Bernardo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Operario PR (Local)
Prévision 48.24%2.07cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -3.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.01
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.53%48.30%48.22%50.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.911.912.0155.56%52.35%52.36%49.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
São Bernardo (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.10%4.33cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -0.710%
Kelly -0.932%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.52%23.09%23.03%24.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.944.004.2027.78%25.35%25.00%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.67%3.49cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.47%28.61%28.75%29.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.213.203.3532.26%31.17%31.25%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Operario PR (Local) : 48.24% ; São Bernardo (Visiteur) : 23.10% ; Match nul : 28.67%. Pour São Bernardo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.33. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.20, pour une espérance de -2.98% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.87%EV -3.05%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.97%EV -3.21%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -5.46%E -2.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.42%E -3.31%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -6.42%E -3.31%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.93%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.20%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 22:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.39%E -3.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-07 21:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.84%E -4.67%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.10%EV -8.84%E -4.67%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.91%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.91%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -13.18%E -7.32%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.95% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |