StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Operario PR v São Bernardo

Matchstart: 2026-08-07 22:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Operario PR 1–3 São Bernardo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Operario PR (Hemma)

Prognos 48.24%2.07rättvist odds
EV -3.05%
Fördel -1.52%
Kelly -3.02%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.01

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
46.53%48.30%48.22%50.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.801.911.912.0155.56%52.35%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

São Bernardo (Borta)

Prognos 23.10%4.33rättvist odds
EV -2.98%
Fördel -0.710%
Kelly -0.932%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.52%23.09%23.03%24.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.944.004.2027.78%25.35%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.67%3.49rättvist odds
EV -3.97%
Fördel -1.19%
Kelly -1.69%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.47%28.61%28.75%29.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.213.203.3532.26%31.17%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Operario PR (Hemma): 48.24%; São Bernardo (Borta): 23.10%; Oavgjort: 28.67%. För São Bernardo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.33. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 4.20, med väntevärdet -2.98%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.87%EV -3.05%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.97%EV -3.21%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 22:05
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -5.46%E -2.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 22:04
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 22:00
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 21:40
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 21:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 21:40
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.42%E -3.31%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -6.42%E -3.31%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.93%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.20%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:05
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:05
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:05
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:05
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:05
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 22:09
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.39%E -3.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 22:05
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 19:45
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-07 22:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 05:41
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 22:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 19:45
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 19:45
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 22:05
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 21:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -8.84%E -4.67%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 19:45
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.10%EV -8.84%E -4.67%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 21:40
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 22:05
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-06 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.91%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 22:05
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.91%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-07 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -11.73%E -6.41%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-07 22:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -13.18%E -7.32%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 22:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-08-07 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-07 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-07 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-07 22:05
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.95%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80%2.1%2026-08-07 22:05