Operario PR v Ponte Preta

2026-07-22 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

63%

14%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Operario PR (Local)

Prediction 63.39%1.58fair odd

EV -7.45%

Edge -5.10%

Kelly -16.19%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.24%63.39%63.39%64.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.381.431.451.4672%70%69%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Ponte Preta (Visit)

Prediction 13.95%7.17fair odd

EV -2.38%

Edge -0.340%

Kelly -0.396%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

13.34%13.95%13.95%14.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

6.256.717.007.0016%15%14%14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.66%4.41fair odd

EV -4.82%

Edge -1.15%

Kelly -1.51%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.24%22.66%22.66%22.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.854.074.204.2026%25%24%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -7.45%E -5.10%K -16.19%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -2.38%E -0.340%K -0.396%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-15 23:40
Unibet (NL)	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.08%E -5.57%K -17.96%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -2.38%E -0.340%K -0.396%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-15 23:40
Unibet (SE)	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.08%E -5.57%K -17.96%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -2.38%E -0.340%K -0.396%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-15 23:40
Casumo	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.08%E -5.57%K -17.96%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -2.38%E -0.340%K -0.396%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-15 23:40
betPARX	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.08%E -5.57%K -17.96%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -2.38%E -0.340%K -0.396%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-15 23:39
Svenska Spel	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.08%E -5.57%K -17.96%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -2.38%E -0.340%K -0.396%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-15 23:40
ATG (SE)	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.08%E -5.57%K -17.96%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -2.38%E -0.340%K -0.396%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-15 23:40
BetRivers	1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -9.35%E -6.54%K -21.74%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -9.35%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-07-15 22:44
Grosvenor	1.42I 70.42%NM 63.24%EV -9.98%E -7.03%K -23.77%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -10.74%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.73%EV -10.48%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-07-15 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)	1.41I 70.92%NM 63.40%EV -10.62%E -7.53%K -25.90%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -10.74%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.48%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-07-15 23:40
TABtouch	1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.25%E -8.04%K -28.13%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 13.86%EV -10.74%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-07-15 23:39
Virgin Bet	1.38I 72.46%NM 63.32%EV -12.52%E -9.07%K -32.95%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 13.98%EV -12.84%E -2.05%K -2.45%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.70%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-07-15 23:40
LiveScore Bet	1.38I 72.46%NM 63.32%EV -12.52%E -9.07%K -32.95%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 13.98%EV -12.84%E -2.05%K -2.45%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.70%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-07-15 23:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.