مدرسة الاحتمالات

Operario PR v Ponte Preta

البداية: 2026-07-22 22:31 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Operario PR 3–2 Ponte Preta

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Operario PR (المضيف)

التنبؤ 71.02%1.41السعر العادل
EV -2.71%
الأفضلية -1.98%
Kelly -7.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.27%70.95%71.01%73.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.37%76.92%72.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ponte Preta (الضيف)

التنبؤ 9.59%10.43السعر العادل
EV +12.17%
الأفضلية +1.04%
Kelly +1.14%
النمو +0.138%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.20%9.66%9.56%11.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.509.169.2011.7013.33%10.91%10.87%8.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 19.40%5.16السعر العادل
EV +0.472%
الأفضلية +0.091%
Kelly +0.113%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.27%19.39%19.43%21.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.254.644.605.1823.53%21.53%21.74%19.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.27%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%11.70I 8.55%NM 8.20%EV +12.17%E +1.04%K +1.14%G +0.138%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.53%EV +0.472%E +0.091%K +0.113%G +0.001%4.2%2026-07-22 22:29
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +0.667%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 22:24
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +0.667%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 22:23
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.93%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 22:29
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:30
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 22:28
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:09
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:09
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:09
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 22:19
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.42%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%9.82I 10.18%NM 9.53%EV -5.85%E -0.596%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.05%EV -4.76%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.22%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -6.04%E -0.617%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.08%E -0.212%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:29
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.22%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -6.04%E -0.617%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.08%E -0.212%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.25%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.65%EV -7.96%E -0.829%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -5.93%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 22:09
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 22:29
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.98%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 22:29
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 22:27
betano_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 69.98%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.50%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:19
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -16.01%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 22:29
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.35%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.09%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 22:14
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.35%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.09%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 22:15
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.07%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.98%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 22:14
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 70.36%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 22:28
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 19:14
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.22%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.63%EV -9.81%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 22:29
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.46%EV -5.55%E -4.17%K -16.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 22:29
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.54%EV -2.71%E -1.98%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 21:49
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:29
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 22:14
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -4.13%E -3.06%K -11.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -23.30%E -2.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 21:50
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 67.27%EV -5.55%E -4.17%K -16.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -16.60%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.43%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.70%EV -16.60%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-22 21:49
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 67.27%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.89%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 21:44
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.60%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.68%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.60%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.68%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 21:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.50%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.17%0.0%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.50%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.17%0.0%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.89%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14%0.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.13%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%1.3%2026-07-22 22:30
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.54%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%1.5%2026-07-22 22:29