L’École des cotesOperario PR v Ponte Preta
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Operario PR (Local)
Prévision 71.02%1.41cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -7.32%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.37
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.27%70.95%71.01%73.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.37%76.92%72.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ponte Preta (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.59%10.43cote équitable
EV +12.17%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.138%
avec la cote maximale 11.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.20%9.66%9.56%11.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.509.169.2011.7013.33%10.91%10.87%8.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 19.40%5.16cote équitable
EV +0.472%
Avantage +0.091%
Kelly +0.113%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 5.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.27%19.39%19.43%21.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.254.644.605.1823.53%21.53%21.74%19.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.27%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 11.70I 8.55%NM 8.20%EV +12.17%E +1.04%K +1.14%G +0.138% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.53%EV +0.472%E +0.091%K +0.113%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +0.667%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +0.667%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 22:23 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.93%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:30 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-22 22:28 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.42%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 9.82I 10.18%NM 9.53%EV -5.85%E -0.596%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.05%EV -4.76%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.22%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -6.04%E -0.617%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.08%E -0.212%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.22%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -6.04%E -0.617%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.08%E -0.212%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.25%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.65%EV -7.96%E -0.829%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -5.93%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.98%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-22 22:27 |
| betano_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.98%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.50%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -16.01%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.35%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.09%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.35%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.09%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 22:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.07%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.98%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.36%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 22:28 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 19:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.22%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.63%EV -9.81%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.46%EV -5.55%E -4.17%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Unibet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.54%EV -2.71%E -1.98%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -4.13%E -3.06%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -23.30%E -2.91%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-22 21:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.27%EV -5.55%E -4.17%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -16.60%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-22 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.43%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.70%EV -16.60%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.27%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.89%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-22 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.60%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.68%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.60%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.68%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.50% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.17% | 0.0% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.50% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.17% | 0.0% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.89% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14% | 0.3% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.13% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 22:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.54% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 1.5% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |