Школа коэффициентов

Operario PR v Ponte Preta

Начало: 2026-07-22 22:31 UTC

Итог: Operario PR 3–2 Ponte Preta

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

48 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Operario PR (Хозяева)

Прогноз 71.02%1.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.71%
Преимущество -1.98%
Kelly -7.32%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.37

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.27%70.95%71.01%73.27%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.37%76.92%72.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ponte Preta (Гости)

Прогноз 9.59%10.43справедливый коэффициент
EV +12.17%
Преимущество +1.04%
Kelly +1.14%
Рост +0.138%

при максимальном коэффициенте 11.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
8.20%9.66%9.56%11.93%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
7.509.169.2011.7013.33%10.91%10.87%8.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 19.40%5.16справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.472%
Преимущество +0.091%
Kelly +0.113%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.18

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.27%19.39%19.43%21.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.254.644.605.1823.53%21.53%21.74%19.31%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.27%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%11.70I 8.55%NM 8.20%EV +12.17%E +1.04%K +1.14%G +0.138%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.53%EV +0.472%E +0.091%K +0.113%G +0.001%4.2%2026-07-22 22:29
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +0.667%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 22:24
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +0.667%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 22:23
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.93%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 22:29
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:30
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 22:28
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:09
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:09
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:09
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 22:19
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.42%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%9.82I 10.18%NM 9.53%EV -5.85%E -0.596%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.05%EV -4.76%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.22%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -6.04%E -0.617%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.08%E -0.212%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:29
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.22%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -6.04%E -0.617%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.08%E -0.212%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.25%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.65%EV -7.96%E -0.829%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -5.93%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 22:09
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 22:29
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.98%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 22:29
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 22:27
betano_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 69.98%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.50%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:19
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -16.01%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 22:29
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.35%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.09%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 22:14
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.35%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.09%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 22:15
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.07%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.98%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 22:14
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 70.36%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 22:28
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 19:14
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.22%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.63%EV -9.81%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 22:29
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.46%EV -5.55%E -4.17%K -16.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 22:29
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.54%EV -2.71%E -1.98%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 21:49
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:29
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 22:14
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -4.13%E -3.06%K -11.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -23.30%E -2.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 21:50
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 67.27%EV -5.55%E -4.17%K -16.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -16.60%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.43%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.70%EV -16.60%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-22 21:49
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 67.27%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.89%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 21:44
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.60%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.68%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.60%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.68%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 21:49
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.50%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.17%0.0%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.50%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.17%0.0%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.89%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14%0.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.13%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%1.3%2026-07-22 22:30
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.54%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%1.5%2026-07-22 22:29