La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Operario PR v Ponte Preta
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Operario PR (Local)
Predicción 71.02%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.98%
Kelly -7.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.27%70.95%71.01%73.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.37%76.92%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ponte Preta (Visitante)
Predicción 9.59%10.43momio equitativo
EV +12.17%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.138%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.20%9.66%9.56%11.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.509.169.2011.7013.33%10.91%10.87%8.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.40%5.16momio equitativo
EV +0.472%
Ventaja +0.091%
Kelly +0.113%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.27%19.39%19.43%21.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.254.644.605.1823.53%21.53%21.74%19.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.27%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 11.70I 8.55%NM 8.20%EV +12.17%E +1.04%K +1.14%G +0.138% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.53%EV +0.472%E +0.091%K +0.113%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +0.667%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +0.667%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 22:23 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.93%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:30 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-22 22:28 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.42%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 9.82I 10.18%NM 9.53%EV -5.85%E -0.596%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.05%EV -4.76%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.22%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -6.04%E -0.617%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.08%E -0.212%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.22%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -6.04%E -0.617%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.08%E -0.212%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.25%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.65%EV -7.96%E -0.829%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -5.93%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.98%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-22 22:27 |
| betano_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.98%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.50%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -16.01%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.35%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.09%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.35%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.09%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 22:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.07%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.98%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.36%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 22:28 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 19:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.22%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.63%EV -9.81%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.46%EV -5.55%E -4.17%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Unibet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.54%EV -2.71%E -1.98%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -4.13%E -3.06%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -23.30%E -2.91%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-22 21:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.27%EV -5.55%E -4.17%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -16.60%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-22 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.43%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.70%EV -16.60%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.27%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.89%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-22 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.60%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.68%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.60%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.68%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.50% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.17% | 0.0% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.50% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.17% | 0.0% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.89% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14% | 0.3% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.13% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 22:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.54% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 1.5% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |