A Escola das Odds

Operario PR v Ponte Preta

Início: 2026-07-22 22:31 UTC

Final: Operario PR 3–2 Ponte Preta

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Operario PR (Local)

Previsão 71.02%1.41odd justa
EV -2.71%
Vantagem -1.98%
Kelly -7.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.27%70.95%71.01%73.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.37%76.92%72.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ponte Preta (Visitante)

Previsão 9.59%10.43odd justa
EV +12.17%
Vantagem +1.04%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescimento +0.138%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.20%9.66%9.56%11.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.509.169.2011.7013.33%10.91%10.87%8.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 19.40%5.16odd justa
EV +0.472%
Vantagem +0.091%
Kelly +0.113%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.27%19.39%19.43%21.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.254.644.605.1823.53%21.53%21.74%19.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.27%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%11.70I 8.55%NM 8.20%EV +12.17%E +1.04%K +1.14%G +0.138%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.53%EV +0.472%E +0.091%K +0.113%G +0.001%4.2%2026-07-22 22:29
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +0.667%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 22:24
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +0.667%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 22:23
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.93%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 22:29
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:30
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 22:28
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:09
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:09
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:09
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -4.13%E -0.413%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 22:19
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.42%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%9.82I 10.18%NM 9.53%EV -5.85%E -0.596%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.05%EV -4.76%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.22%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -6.04%E -0.617%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.08%E -0.212%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:29
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.22%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -6.04%E -0.617%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.08%E -0.212%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.25%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.65%EV -7.96%E -0.829%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -5.93%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 22:09
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 22:29
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.98%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 22:29
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 22:27
betano_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 69.98%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.50%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -11.23%E -8.98%K -44.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:19
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -8.92%E -0.939%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -16.01%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 22:29
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.35%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.09%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 22:14
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.35%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.09%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 22:15
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.07%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.98%EV -11.80%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 22:14
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 70.36%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 22:28
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 19:14
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.22%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.63%EV -9.81%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 22:29
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.46%EV -5.55%E -4.17%K -16.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -13.71%E -1.52%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 22:29
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.54%EV -2.71%E -1.98%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 21:49
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 22:29
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -8.39%E -6.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -18.51%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 22:14
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -4.13%E -3.06%K -11.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -23.30%E -2.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 21:50
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 67.27%EV -5.55%E -4.17%K -16.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -16.60%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.43%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.70%EV -16.60%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-22 21:49
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 67.27%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.89%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 21:44
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.60%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.68%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.60%EV -7.68%E -5.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -28.09%E -3.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.68%EV -17.57%E -4.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 21:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.50%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.17%0.0%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.50%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.17%0.0%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.89%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14%0.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.13%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%1.3%2026-07-22 22:30
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.54%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%1.5%2026-07-22 22:29