Operario PR v Grêmio Novorizontino

2026-07-12 14:00 — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Option 1: Operario PR (Local)

Odds

2.2045.45%Min

2.3043.51%Mean

2.3542.55%Median

2.3542.55%Max

Consensus probabilities

39.47%2.534Min

39.74%2.517Max

39.47%2.534Mean

39.47%2.534Median

39.47%2.534IQM

39.47%2.534Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.35 under the IQM model: 39.47%

EV -7.25%Edge -3.09%Kelly -5.37%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Grêmio Novorizontino (Visit)

Odds

2.8535.09%Min

2.9833.61%Mean

3.0532.79%Median

3.0532.79%Max

Consensus probabilities

30.62%3.266Min

30.77%3.250Max

30.77%3.250Mean

30.77%3.250Median

30.77%3.250IQM

30.77%3.250Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.05 under the IQM model: 30.77%

EV -6.15%Edge -2.02%Kelly -3.00%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

2.9533.90%Min

3.0832.50%Mean

3.1531.75%Median

3.1531.75%Max

Consensus probabilities

29.53%3.387Min

29.76%3.360Max

29.76%3.360Mean

29.76%3.360Median

29.76%3.360IQM

29.76%3.360Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.15 under the IQM model: 29.76%

EV -6.25%Edge -1.98%Kelly -2.91%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Operario PR (Local) ▼	Grêmio Novorizontino (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.74%EV -7.25% E -3.09% K -5.37% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 30.62%EV -6.15% E -2.02% K -3.00% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 29.65%EV -6.25% E -1.98% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-05 15:19
Unibet (NL)	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.74%EV -7.25% E -3.09% K -5.37% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 30.62%EV -6.15% E -2.02% K -3.00% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 29.65%EV -6.25% E -1.98% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-05 15:20
Casumo	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.74%EV -7.25% E -3.09% K -5.37% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 30.62%EV -6.15% E -2.02% K -3.00% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 29.65%EV -6.25% E -1.98% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-05 15:20
Unibet (SE)	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.74%EV -7.25% E -3.09% K -5.37% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 30.62%EV -6.15% E -2.02% K -3.00% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 29.65%EV -6.25% E -1.98% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-05 15:19
betPARX	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.74%EV -7.25% E -3.09% K -5.37% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 30.62%EV -6.15% E -2.02% K -3.00% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 29.65%EV -6.25% E -1.98% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-05 15:20
Svenska Spel	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.74%EV -7.25% E -3.09% K -5.37% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 30.62%EV -6.15% E -2.02% K -3.00% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 29.65%EV -6.25% E -1.98% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-05 15:20
ATG (SE)	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.74%EV -7.25% E -3.09% K -5.37% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 30.62%EV -6.15% E -2.02% K -3.00% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 29.65%EV -6.25% E -1.98% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-05 15:19
BetRivers	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.47%EV -9.23% E -4.01% K -7.10% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.77%EV -9.23% E -3.13% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.76%EV -9.23% E -3.02% K -4.50% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-07-05 15:19
Grosvenor	2.25I 44.44% NM 39.59%EV -11.20% E -4.98% K -8.96% G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48% NM 30.72%EV -10.76% E -3.71% K -5.67% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.69%EV -10.71% E -3.57% K -5.36% G +0.000%	12.3%	2026-07-05 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)	2.25I 44.44% NM 39.59%EV -11.20% E -4.98% K -8.96% G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48% NM 30.72%EV -10.76% E -3.71% K -5.67% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.69%EV -10.71% E -3.57% K -5.36% G +0.000%	12.3%	2026-07-05 15:19
TABtouch	2.23I 44.84% NM 39.72%EV -11.99% E -5.38% K -9.75% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 30.76%EV -11.38% E -3.95% K -6.05% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.53%EV -10.71% E -3.57% K -5.36% G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-07-05 15:05
Virgin Bet	2.20I 45.45% NM 39.72%EV -13.17% E -5.99% K -10.98% G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09% NM 30.66%EV -12.30% E -4.32% K -6.65% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 29.62%EV -12.20% E -4.14% K -6.26% G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-07-05 15:19
LiveScore Bet	2.20I 45.45% NM 39.72%EV -13.17% E -5.99% K -10.98% G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09% NM 30.66%EV -12.30% E -4.32% K -6.65% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 29.62%EV -12.20% E -4.14% K -6.26% G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-07-05 15:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth