L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Operario PR v Grêmio Novorizontino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Operario PR (Local)
Prévision 36.29%2.76cote équitable
EV -3.83%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.32%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.69%36.32%36.34%37.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.322.502.502.6543.10%40.08%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.81%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.444%
Kelly -0.655%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.85%31.76%31.80%32.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.882.903.1036.36%34.67%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.89%3.14cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -0.892%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.50%31.92%31.86%32.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.892.883.0536.36%34.63%34.72%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.36%EV -3.83%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.55%EV -5.59%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -2.97%E -0.973%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -2.97%E -0.973%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 13:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -6.01%E -2.32%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -6.78%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -9.42%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Bovada | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.87%EV -6.73%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -8.55%E -3.39%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.52%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -8.55%E -3.39%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.52%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 13:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| betano_uk | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -12.90%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -13.63%E -5.73%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -15.81%E -6.81%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -15.81%E -6.81%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 1.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |