مدرسة الاحتمالاتOperario PR v Grêmio Novorizontino
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Operario PR (المضيف)
التنبؤ 36.29%2.76السعر العادل
EV -3.83%
الأفضلية -1.44%
Kelly -2.32%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.69%36.32%36.34%37.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.322.502.502.6543.10%40.08%40.00%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Grêmio Novorizontino (الضيف)
التنبؤ 31.81%3.14السعر العادل
EV -1.38%
الأفضلية -0.444%
Kelly -0.655%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.85%31.76%31.80%32.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.882.903.1036.36%34.67%34.48%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 31.89%3.14السعر العادل
EV -2.72%
الأفضلية -0.892%
Kelly -1.33%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.50%31.92%31.86%32.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.892.883.0536.36%34.63%34.72%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.36%EV -3.83%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.55%EV -5.59%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -2.97%E -0.973%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -2.97%E -0.973%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 13:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -6.01%E -2.32%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -6.78%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -9.42%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Bovada | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.87%EV -6.73%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -8.55%E -3.39%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.52%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -8.55%E -3.39%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.52%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 13:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| betano_uk | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -12.90%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -13.63%E -5.73%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -15.81%E -6.81%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -15.81%E -6.81%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 1.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |