语言:简体中文
Operario PR v Grêmio Novorizontino
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Operario PR (主队)
预测 36.29%2.76公平赔率
EV -3.83%
优势 -1.44%
Kelly -2.32%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.65
博彩公司预测分布
35.69%36.32%36.34%37.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.322.502.502.6543.10%40.08%40.00%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
Grêmio Novorizontino (客队)
预测 31.81%3.14公平赔率
EV -1.38%
优势 -0.444%
Kelly -0.655%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.85%31.76%31.80%32.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.882.903.1036.36%34.67%34.48%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.89%3.14公平赔率
EV -2.72%
优势 -0.892%
Kelly -1.33%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.05
博彩公司预测分布
30.50%31.92%31.86%32.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.892.883.0536.36%34.63%34.72%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Operario PR (主队)：36.29%；Grêmio Novorizontino (客队)：31.81%；平局：31.89%。 对于“Grêmio Novorizontino (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.14。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.10，期望值为-1.38%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.36%EV -3.83%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.55%EV -5.59%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -2.97%E -0.973%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -2.97%E -0.973%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -6.01%E -2.32%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -6.78%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -9.42%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.87%EV -6.73%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -8.55%E -3.39%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.52%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -8.55%E -3.39%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.52%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 13:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -12.90%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -13.63%E -5.73%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -15.81%E -6.81%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -15.81%E -6.81%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 1.8% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |