Школа коэффициентов

Operario PR v Grêmio Novorizontino

Начало: 2026-07-12 14:02 UTC

Итог: Operario PR 2–1 Grêmio Novorizontino

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Operario PR (Хозяева)

Прогноз 36.29%2.76справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.83%
Преимущество -1.44%
Kelly -2.32%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.69%36.32%36.34%37.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.322.502.502.6543.10%40.08%40.00%37.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (Гости)

Прогноз 31.81%3.14справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.38%
Преимущество -0.444%
Kelly -0.655%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.85%31.76%31.80%32.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.882.903.1036.36%34.67%34.48%32.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 31.89%3.14справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.72%
Преимущество -0.892%
Kelly -1.33%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.05

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.50%31.92%31.86%32.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.892.883.0536.36%34.63%34.72%32.79%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.36%EV -3.83%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.55%EV -5.59%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 13:59
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 13:59
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -2.97%E -0.973%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -2.97%E -0.973%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 13:59
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:49
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 13:59
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 13:59
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -6.01%E -2.32%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -6.78%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -9.42%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 13:59
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 35.87%EV -6.73%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 13:59
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 13:59
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 13:59
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 13:59
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -8.55%E -3.39%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.52%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 13:59
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -8.55%E -3.39%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.52%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 13:59
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 13:59
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 13:59
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-12 13:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 13:59
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 13:59
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 13:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 13:59
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 13:59
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 13:59
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 13:58
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-12 13:59
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-12 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-12 13:59
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-12 13:59
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 13:59
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 13:59
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 13:59
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 13:59
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 13:59
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 13:59
betano_uk2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 13:59
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -12.90%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-12 13:59
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -13.63%E -5.73%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-12 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-12 13:59
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-12 13:59
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -15.81%E -6.81%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-12 13:59
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -15.81%E -6.81%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-12 13:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-07-12 13:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-07-12 13:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-07-12 13:59
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-07-12 13:59
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%1.8%2026-07-12 13:59