Szkoła Kursów

Operario PR v Grêmio Novorizontino

Początek: 2026-07-12 14:02 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Operario PR 2–1 Grêmio Novorizontino

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

47 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Operario PR (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 36.29%2.76kurs godziwy
EV -3.83%
Przewaga -1.44%
Kelly -2.32%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.69%36.32%36.34%37.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.322.502.502.6543.10%40.08%40.00%37.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Grêmio Novorizontino (Goście)

Prognoza 31.81%3.14kurs godziwy
EV -1.38%
Przewaga -0.444%
Kelly -0.655%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.85%31.76%31.80%32.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.882.903.1036.36%34.67%34.48%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 31.89%3.14kurs godziwy
EV -2.72%
Przewaga -0.892%
Kelly -1.33%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.50%31.92%31.86%32.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.892.883.0536.36%34.63%34.72%32.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.36%EV -3.83%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.55%EV -5.59%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 13:59
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 13:59
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -2.97%E -0.973%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -2.97%E -0.973%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 13:59
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:49
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 13:59
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 13:59
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -6.01%E -2.32%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -6.78%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -9.42%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 13:59
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 35.87%EV -6.73%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 13:59
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 13:59
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 13:59
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 13:59
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -8.55%E -3.39%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.52%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 13:59
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -8.55%E -3.39%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.52%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 13:59
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 13:59
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 13:59
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-12 13:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 13:59
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 13:59
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 13:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 13:59
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 13:59
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 13:59
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 13:58
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-12 13:59
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-12 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-12 13:59
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-12 13:59
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 13:59
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 13:59
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 13:59
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 13:59
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -2.72%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 13:59
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 13:59
betano_uk2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 13:59
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -12.90%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-12 13:59
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -13.63%E -5.73%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-12 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-12 13:59
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-12 13:59
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -15.81%E -6.81%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-12 13:59
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -15.81%E -6.81%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-12 13:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-07-12 13:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-07-12 13:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-07-12 13:59
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-07-12 13:59
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%1.8%2026-07-12 13:59