Language:English
Nautico PE v Cuiabá
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nautico PE (Local)
Prediction 49.19%2.03fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.43%49.16%49.23%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.901.9655.56%52.85%52.63%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cuiabá (Visit)
Prediction 19.85%5.04fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +0.584%
Kelly +0.723%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 5.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.50%19.88%19.77%22.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.674.705.1925.00%21.39%21.28%19.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.96%3.23fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.04%30.96%31.00%32.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.922.903.1036.36%34.22%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nautico PE (Local): 49.19%; Cuiabá (Visit): 19.85%; Draw: 30.96%. For Cuiabá (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.53%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.50%EV +3.03%E +0.584%K +0.723%G +0.022% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -8.02%E -4.29%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -8.51%E -4.57%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -9.49%E -5.16%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.73%E -0.557%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -9.49%E -5.16%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.73%E -0.557%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.59%E -1.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -4.57%E -2.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.94%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.20%EV -8.05%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.19%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.75%EV -5.56%E -2.89%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.88%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.14%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.69%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -7.74%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.69%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -7.74%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.98%E -5.46%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -12.65%E -2.88%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -14.64%E -3.40%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.94%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -15.63%E -3.68%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -20.59%E -5.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.74% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |