A Escola das Odds

Nautico PE v Cuiabá

Início: 2026-05-22 22:00 UTC

Final: Nautico PE 1–0 Cuiabá

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nautico PE (Local)

Previsão 49.19%2.03odd justa
EV -3.59%
Vantagem -1.83%
Kelly -3.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.43%49.16%49.23%50.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.891.901.9655.56%52.85%52.63%51.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cuiabá (Visitante)

Previsão 19.85%5.04odd justa
EV +3.03%
Vantagem +0.584%
Kelly +0.723%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.50%19.88%19.77%22.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.674.705.1925.00%21.39%21.28%19.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.96%3.23odd justa
EV -4.03%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -1.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.04%30.96%31.00%32.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.922.903.1036.36%34.22%34.48%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.53%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.50%EV +3.03%E +0.584%K +0.723%G +0.022%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 21:49
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -8.02%E -4.29%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:40
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -8.51%E -4.57%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 21:40
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 21:40
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 21:40
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -9.49%E -5.16%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.73%E -0.557%K -0.699%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 21:49
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -9.49%E -5.16%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.73%E -0.557%K -0.699%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 21:49
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 21:49
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.59%E -1.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 21:49
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -4.57%E -2.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 21:49
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.94%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 21:39
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.20%EV -8.05%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 21:49
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.19%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:39
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 47.75%EV -5.56%E -2.89%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.88%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 21:49
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.14%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 21:49
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.69%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -7.74%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 21:39
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.69%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -7.74%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 21:39
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 21:39
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 21:40
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:49
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:49
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-22 21:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 21:40
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.98%E -5.46%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -12.65%E -2.88%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -14.64%E -3.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.94%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -15.63%E -3.68%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 21:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-22 21:39
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -20.59%E -5.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-22 21:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.74%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-05-22 21:49