مدرسة الاحتمالات

Nautico PE v Cuiabá

البداية: 2026-05-22 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Nautico PE 1–0 Cuiabá

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

40 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Nautico PE (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.19%2.03السعر العادل
EV -3.59%
الأفضلية -1.83%
Kelly -3.74%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.96

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.43%49.16%49.23%50.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.891.901.9655.56%52.85%52.63%51.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cuiabá (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.85%5.04السعر العادل
EV +3.03%
الأفضلية +0.584%
Kelly +0.723%
النمو +0.022%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.50%19.88%19.77%22.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.674.705.1925.00%21.39%21.28%19.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.96%3.23السعر العادل
EV -4.03%
الأفضلية -1.30%
Kelly -1.92%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.04%30.96%31.00%32.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.922.903.1036.36%34.22%34.48%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (40 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.53%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.50%EV +3.03%E +0.584%K +0.723%G +0.022%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 21:49
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -8.02%E -4.29%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:40
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -8.51%E -4.57%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 21:40
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 21:40
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 21:40
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -9.49%E -5.16%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.73%E -0.557%K -0.699%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 21:49
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -9.49%E -5.16%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.73%E -0.557%K -0.699%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 21:49
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 21:49
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.59%E -1.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 21:49
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -4.57%E -2.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 21:49
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.94%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 21:39
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.20%EV -8.05%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 21:49
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.19%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:39
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 47.75%EV -5.56%E -2.89%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.88%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 21:49
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.14%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 21:49
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.69%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -7.74%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 21:39
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.69%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -7.74%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 21:39
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 21:39
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 21:40
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:49
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:49
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-22 21:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 21:40
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.98%E -5.46%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -12.65%E -2.88%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -14.64%E -3.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.94%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -15.63%E -3.68%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 21:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-22 21:39
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -20.59%E -5.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-22 21:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.74%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-05-22 21:49