La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nautico PE v Cuiabá
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nautico PE (Local)
Predicción 49.19%2.03momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -1.83%
Kelly -3.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.43%49.16%49.23%50.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.891.901.9655.56%52.85%52.63%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cuiabá (Visitante)
Predicción 19.85%5.04momio equitativo
EV +3.03%
Ventaja +0.584%
Kelly +0.723%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.50%19.88%19.77%22.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.674.705.1925.00%21.39%21.28%19.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.96%3.23momio equitativo
EV -4.03%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.04%30.96%31.00%32.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.922.903.1036.36%34.22%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.53%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.50%EV +3.03%E +0.584%K +0.723%G +0.022% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -8.02%E -4.29%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -8.51%E -4.57%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| Bovada | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -9.49%E -5.16%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.73%E -0.557%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| BetUS | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -9.49%E -5.16%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.73%E -0.557%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.59%E -1.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -4.57%E -2.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.94%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.20%EV -8.05%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.19%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.75%EV -5.56%E -2.89%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.88%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.14%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.69%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -7.74%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.69%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -7.74%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.98%E -5.46%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -12.65%E -2.88%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -14.64%E -3.40%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.94%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -15.63%E -3.68%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -20.59%E -5.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.74% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |