L’École des cotes

Nautico PE v Cuiabá

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 22:00 UTC

Score final : Nautico PE 1–0 Cuiabá

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nautico PE (Local)

Prévision 49.19%2.03cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -1.83%
Kelly -3.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.43%49.16%49.23%50.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.891.901.9655.56%52.85%52.63%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cuiabá (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.85%5.04cote équitable
EV +3.03%
Avantage +0.584%
Kelly +0.723%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 5.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.50%19.88%19.77%22.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.674.705.1925.00%21.39%21.28%19.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.96%3.23cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.04%30.96%31.00%32.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.922.903.1036.36%34.22%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.53%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.50%EV +3.03%E +0.584%K +0.723%G +0.022%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 21:49
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -8.02%E -4.29%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:40
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -8.51%E -4.57%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 21:40
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 21:40
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 21:40
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -9.49%E -5.16%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.73%E -0.557%K -0.699%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 21:49
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -9.49%E -5.16%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.73%E -0.557%K -0.699%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 21:49
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 21:49
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.59%E -1.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 21:49
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -4.57%E -2.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 21:49
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.94%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 21:39
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.20%EV -8.05%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 21:49
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.19%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:39
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 47.75%EV -5.56%E -2.89%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.88%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 21:49
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.14%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 21:49
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.69%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -7.74%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 21:39
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.69%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -7.74%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 21:39
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 21:39
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 21:40
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:49
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:49
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-22 21:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 21:40
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.98%E -5.46%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -12.65%E -2.88%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -14.64%E -3.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.94%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -15.63%E -3.68%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 21:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-22 21:39
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -20.59%E -5.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-22 21:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.74%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-05-22 21:49