Школа коэффициентов

Nautico PE v Cuiabá

Начало: 2026-05-22 22:00 UTC

Итог: Nautico PE 1–0 Cuiabá

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

40 букмекерских контор (15 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Nautico PE (Хозяева)

Прогноз 49.19%2.03справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.59%
Преимущество -1.83%
Kelly -3.74%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.96

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.43%49.16%49.23%50.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.801.891.901.9655.56%52.85%52.63%51.02%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Cuiabá (Гости)

Прогноз 19.85%5.04справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.03%
Преимущество +0.584%
Kelly +0.723%
Рост +0.022%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.19

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.50%19.88%19.77%22.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.674.705.1925.00%21.39%21.28%19.27%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 30.96%3.23справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.03%
Преимущество -1.30%
Kelly -1.92%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.04%30.96%31.00%32.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.922.903.1036.36%34.22%34.48%32.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (40 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.53%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.50%EV +3.03%E +0.584%K +0.723%G +0.022%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 21:49
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -8.02%E -4.29%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:40
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -8.51%E -4.57%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 21:40
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 21:40
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.742%E -0.148%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 21:40
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -9.49%E -5.16%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.73%E -0.557%K -0.699%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 21:49
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -9.49%E -5.16%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -2.73%E -0.557%K -0.699%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 21:49
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 21:49
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.59%E -1.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 21:49
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:49
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -4.57%E -2.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -4.71%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 21:49
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.94%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 21:39
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.20%EV -8.05%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 21:49
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -5.71%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.19%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:39
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 47.75%EV -5.56%E -2.89%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.88%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 21:49
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.14%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -6.70%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 21:49
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.69%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -7.74%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 21:39
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.69%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -7.74%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 21:39
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 21:39
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.67%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 21:40
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:49
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -14.86%E -5.40%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 21:49
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 21:49
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-22 21:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.67%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 21:40
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.98%E -5.46%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -12.65%E -2.88%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -14.64%E -3.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.94%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -15.63%E -3.68%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 21:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -11.46%E -6.37%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -13.31%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-22 21:39
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -20.59%E -5.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-22 21:39
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.91%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-05-22 21:49
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.74%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-05-22 21:49