Language:English
Londrina v Juventude
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Londrina (Local)
Prediction 24.89%4.02fair odd
EV +4.55%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.065%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.51%25.00%24.79%27.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.623.604.2031.25%27.66%27.78%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juventude (Visit)
Prediction 43.85%2.28fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.70%43.80%44.02%46.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.112.102.2051.81%47.38%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.25%3.20fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.23%31.21%31.19%32.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.942.953.0935.71%34.01%33.90%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Londrina (Local): 24.89%; Juventude (Visit): 43.85%; Draw: 31.25%. For Londrina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV +4.55%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.065% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.80%EV -15.36%E -7.96%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.84%EV +1.81%E +0.443%K +0.587%G +0.011% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -12.73%E -6.40%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.23%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.00%EV -0.178%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.76%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -3.74%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.67%E -0.423%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -3.41%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.36%EV -8.34%E -3.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.73%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.73%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -12.29%E -6.15%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.18%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.18%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -15.36%E -4.52%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -15.36%E -4.52%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -16.61%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -17.85%E -5.41%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -17.85%E -5.41%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -20.34%E -6.36%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -9.22%E -4.45%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -20.34%E -6.36%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -9.22%E -4.45%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.12% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.69% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.77% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00% | 2.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |