语言:简体中文
Londrina v Juventude
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Londrina (主队)
预测 24.89%4.02公平赔率
EV +4.55%
优势 +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
增长率 +0.065%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
21.51%25.00%24.79%27.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.623.604.2031.25%27.66%27.78%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
Juventude (客队)
预测 43.85%2.28公平赔率
EV -3.52%
优势 -1.60%
Kelly -2.93%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.20
博彩公司预测分布
41.70%43.80%44.02%46.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.932.112.102.2051.81%47.38%47.62%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.25%3.20公平赔率
EV -3.43%
优势 -1.11%
Kelly -1.64%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.09
博彩公司预测分布
30.23%31.21%31.19%32.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.942.953.0935.71%34.01%33.90%32.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Londrina (主队)：24.89%；Juventude (客队)：43.85%；平局：31.25%。 对于“Londrina (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.02。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.20，对应+4.55%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV +4.55%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.065% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.80%EV -15.36%E -7.96%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.84%EV +1.81%E +0.443%K +0.587%G +0.011% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -12.73%E -6.40%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.23%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.00%EV -0.178%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.76%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -3.74%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.67%E -0.423%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -3.41%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.36%EV -8.34%E -3.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.73%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.73%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -12.29%E -6.15%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.18%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.18%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -15.36%E -4.52%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -15.36%E -4.52%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -16.61%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -17.85%E -5.41%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -17.85%E -5.41%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -20.34%E -6.36%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -9.22%E -4.45%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -20.34%E -6.36%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -9.22%E -4.45%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.12% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.69% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.77% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00% | 2.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |