Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Londrina v Juventude

Início: 2026-09-01 22:30 UTC

Final: Londrina 0–0 Juventude

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Londrina (Local)

Previsão 24.89%4.02odd justa
EV +4.55%
Vantagem +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
Crescimento +0.065%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.51%25.00%24.79%27.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.623.604.2031.25%27.66%27.78%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Juventude (Visitante)

Previsão 43.85%2.28odd justa
EV -3.52%
Vantagem -1.60%
Kelly -2.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.70%43.80%44.02%46.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.932.112.102.2051.81%47.38%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.25%3.20odd justa
EV -3.43%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.23%31.21%31.19%32.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.942.953.0935.71%34.01%33.90%32.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Londrina (Local): 24.89%; Juventude (Visitante): 43.85%; Empate: 31.25%. Para Londrina (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.02. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.55%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV +4.55%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.065%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.80%EV -15.36%E -7.96%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 22:25
1xBet🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 22.84%EV +1.81%E +0.443%K +0.587%G +0.011%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -12.73%E -6.40%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.23%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 22:25
Pinnacle🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 24.00%EV -0.178%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.76%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -3.74%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 22:15
DraftKings🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.67%E -0.423%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:25
BetUS🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -3.41%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.36%EV -8.34%E -3.99%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 22:25
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 22:25
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 22:25
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 22:25
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 22:25
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.73%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 22:25
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.73%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 22:24
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -12.29%E -6.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-01 22:25
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-01 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-01 22:25
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-01 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-01 22:25
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 21:59
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 21:55
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 22:24
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.18%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 22:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.18%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 22:25
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 22:25
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 22:14
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-01 21:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-01 22:15
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 21:45
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 22:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 22:15
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 22:15
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 22:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -15.36%E -4.52%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 22:15
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -15.36%E -4.52%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 22:15
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -16.61%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 22:14
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -17.85%E -5.41%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 22:14
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -17.85%E -5.41%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-01 22:15
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 22:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -20.34%E -6.36%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -9.22%E -4.45%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-01 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -20.34%E -6.36%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -9.22%E -4.45%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-01 22:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.69%0.3%2026-09-01 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%0.6%2026-09-01 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-09-01 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-09-01 22:20
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.77%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00%2.5%2026-09-01 22:25