Langue:Français
Londrina v Juventude
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Londrina (Local)
Prévision 24.89%4.02cote équitable
EV +4.55%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.065%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.51%25.00%24.79%27.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.623.604.2031.25%27.66%27.78%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Juventude (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.85%2.28cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -2.93%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.70%43.80%44.02%46.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.112.102.2051.81%47.38%47.62%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 31.25%3.20cote équitable
EV -3.43%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.23%31.21%31.19%32.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.942.953.0935.71%34.01%33.90%32.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Londrina (Local) : 24.89% ; Juventude (Visiteur) : 43.85% ; Match nul : 31.25%. Pour Londrina (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.02. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.20, soit une espérance positive de +4.55%.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV +4.55%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.065% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.80%EV -15.36%E -7.96%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.84%EV +1.81%E +0.443%K +0.587%G +0.011% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -12.73%E -6.40%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.23%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.00%EV -0.178%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.76%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -3.74%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.67%E -0.423%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -3.41%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.36%EV -8.34%E -3.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.73%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.73%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -12.29%E -6.15%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.18%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.18%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -15.36%E -4.52%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -15.36%E -4.52%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -16.61%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -17.85%E -5.41%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -17.85%E -5.41%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -20.34%E -6.36%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -9.22%E -4.45%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -20.34%E -6.36%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -9.22%E -4.45%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.12% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.69% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.77% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00% | 2.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |