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Londrina v Juventude
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Londrina (Хозяева)
Прогноз 24.89%4.02справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.55%
Преимущество +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
Рост +0.065%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.51%25.00%24.79%27.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.623.604.2031.25%27.66%27.78%23.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Juventude (Гости)
Прогноз 43.85%2.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.52%
Преимущество -1.60%
Kelly -2.93%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.70%43.80%44.02%46.94%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.932.112.102.2051.81%47.38%47.62%45.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 31.25%3.20справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.43%
Преимущество -1.11%
Kelly -1.64%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.09
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.23%31.21%31.19%32.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.802.942.953.0935.71%34.01%33.90%32.36%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Londrina (Хозяева): 24.89%; Juventude (Гости): 43.85%; Ничья: 31.25%. Для исхода «Londrina (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.02. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.20, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.55%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV +4.55%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.065% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.80%EV -15.36%E -7.96%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.84%EV +1.81%E +0.443%K +0.587%G +0.011% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -12.73%E -6.40%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.23%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.00%EV -0.178%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.76%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -3.74%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.67%E -0.423%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -3.41%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.36%EV -8.34%E -3.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.73%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.73%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -12.29%E -6.15%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.18%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.18%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -15.36%E -4.52%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -15.36%E -4.52%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -16.61%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -17.85%E -5.41%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -17.85%E -5.41%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -20.34%E -6.36%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -9.22%E -4.45%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -20.34%E -6.36%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -9.22%E -4.45%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.12% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.69% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.77% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00% | 2.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |