Idioma:Español
Londrina v Juventude
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Londrina (Local)
Predicción 24.89%4.02momio equitativo
EV +4.55%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.065%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.51%25.00%24.79%27.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.623.604.2031.25%27.66%27.78%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Juventude (Visitante)
Predicción 43.85%2.28momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -2.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.70%43.80%44.02%46.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.932.112.102.2051.81%47.38%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.25%3.20momio equitativo
EV -3.43%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.23%31.21%31.19%32.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.802.942.953.0935.71%34.01%33.90%32.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Londrina (Local): 24.89%; Juventude (Visitante): 43.85%; Empate: 31.25%. Para Londrina (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.02. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.55%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV +4.55%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.065% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.80%EV -15.36%E -7.96%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.84%EV +1.81%E +0.443%K +0.587%G +0.011% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -12.73%E -6.40%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.23%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.00%EV -0.178%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.76%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -3.74%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.67%E -0.423%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.92%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -3.41%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.36%EV -8.34%E -3.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.73%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.73%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.74%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -12.29%E -6.15%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.18%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.18%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -14.12%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -15.36%E -4.52%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -3.52%E -1.60%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -15.36%E -4.52%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -16.61%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -17.85%E -5.41%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -7.03%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -17.85%E -5.41%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -20.34%E -6.36%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -9.22%E -4.45%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -20.34%E -6.36%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -9.22%E -4.45%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.12% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.69% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.77% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00% | 2.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |