Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juventude v Athletic Club (MG)

2026-09-13 21:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juventude (Local)

Prediction 53.44%1.87fair odd
EV -7.55%
Edge -4.36%
Kelly -10.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.30%53.44%53.44%53.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.701.731.7360.98%58.82%57.80%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletic Club (MG) (Visit)

Prediction 18.17%5.50fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.92%18.17%18.17%18.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.055.205.2020.83%19.82%19.23%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.39%3.52fair odd
EV -6.31%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.14%28.39%28.39%28.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.303.3032.26%30.99%30.30%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Juventude (Local): 53.44%; Athletic Club (MG) (Visit): 18.17%; Draw: 28.39%. For Athletic Club (MG) (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.50. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.20, with an expected value of -5.52%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.85%EV -7.55%E -4.36%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.52%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.85%EV -7.55%E -4.36%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.52%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.85%EV -7.55%E -4.36%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.52%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 21:50
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.85%EV -7.55%E -4.36%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.52%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.85%EV -7.55%E -4.36%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.52%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 21:50
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.85%EV -7.55%E -4.36%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.52%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.85%EV -7.55%E -4.36%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.52%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -9.15%E -5.38%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -9.15%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 21:50
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.30%EV -10.22%E -6.08%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -10.97%E -2.24%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -10.57%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.45%EV -10.75%E -6.44%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -10.97%E -2.24%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -10.57%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 21:50
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.40%EV -11.29%E -6.80%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -12.79%E -2.66%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -10.57%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.46%EV -12.36%E -7.54%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.79%E -2.66%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.46%EV -12.36%E -7.54%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.79%E -2.66%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.