StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Juventude v Athletic Club (MG)

Matchstart: 2026-09-13 21:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Juventude 0–2 Athletic Club (MG)

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Juventude (Hemma)

Prognos 57.73%1.73rättvist odds
EV -6.47%
Fördel -3.99%
Kelly -10.44%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.62

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.88%57.87%57.73%60.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.501.601.611.6266.67%62.64%62.11%61.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Athletic Club (MG) (Borta)

Prognos 15.61%6.41rättvist odds
EV +6.15%
Fördel +0.905%
Kelly +1.06%
Tillväxt +0.065%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.27%15.41%15.63%17.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.255.946.006.8019.05%16.82%16.67%14.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.66%3.75rättvist odds
EV -3.77%
Fördel -1.04%
Kelly -1.45%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.61

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.07%26.72%26.64%28.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.413.403.6131.25%29.30%29.41%27.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Juventude (Hemma): 57.73%; Athletic Club (MG) (Borta): 15.61%; Oavgjort: 26.66%. För Athletic Club (MG) (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.41. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.80, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.15%.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.18%EV -13.40%E -8.93%K -26.80%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.27%EV +6.15%E +0.905%K +1.06%G +0.065%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.27%EV +4.90%E +0.729%K +0.857%G +0.042%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.56%EV -3.77%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 20:45
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 20:45
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.54%EV +0.375%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.02%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 20:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.61%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -2.43%E -0.390%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 20:55
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 20:54
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 20:54
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.79%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 20:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 20:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.60%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -14.70%E -4.59%K -6.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 20:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 20:45
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.57%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:50
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.57%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.48%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.46%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 20:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 20:50
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -8.20%E -5.16%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:55
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.87%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.26%EV -10.51%E -6.78%K -19.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.89%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-13 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.26%EV -10.51%E -6.78%K -19.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.89%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-13 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 20:45
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 20:45
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 20:45
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 20:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.62%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-09-13 20:55