Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juventude v Athletic Club (MG)

Inizio: 2026-09-13 21:00 UTC

Finale: Juventude 0–2 Athletic Club (MG)

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

44 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juventude (Casa)

Previsione 57.73%1.73quota equa
EV -6.47%
Vantaggio -3.99%
Kelly -10.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.88%57.87%57.73%60.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.601.611.6266.67%62.64%62.11%61.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Athletic Club (MG) (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.61%6.41quota equa
EV +6.15%
Vantaggio +0.905%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescita +0.065%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.27%15.41%15.63%17.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.255.946.006.8019.05%16.82%16.67%14.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.66%3.75quota equa
EV -3.77%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.07%26.72%26.64%28.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.413.403.6131.25%29.30%29.41%27.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Juventude (Casa): 57.73%; Athletic Club (MG) (Trasferta): 15.61%; Pareggio: 26.66%. Per Athletic Club (MG) (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.41. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.15%.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.18%EV -13.40%E -8.93%K -26.80%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.27%EV +6.15%E +0.905%K +1.06%G +0.065%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.27%EV +4.90%E +0.729%K +0.857%G +0.042%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.56%EV -3.77%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 20:45
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 20:45
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.54%EV +0.375%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.02%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 20:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.61%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -2.43%E -0.390%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 20:55
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 20:54
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 20:54
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.79%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 20:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 20:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.60%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -14.70%E -4.59%K -6.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 20:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 20:45
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.57%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:50
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.57%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.48%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.46%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 20:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 20:50
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -8.20%E -5.16%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:55
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.87%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.26%EV -10.51%E -6.78%K -19.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.89%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-13 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.26%EV -10.51%E -6.78%K -19.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.89%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-13 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 20:45
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 20:45
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 20:45
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 20:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.62%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-09-13 20:55