Langue:Français
Juventude v Athletic Club (MG)
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Juventude (Local)
Prévision 57.73%1.73cote équitable
EV -6.47%
Avantage -3.99%
Kelly -10.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.88%57.87%57.73%60.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.601.611.6266.67%62.64%62.11%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Athletic Club (MG) (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.61%6.41cote équitable
EV +6.15%
Avantage +0.905%
Kelly +1.06%
Croissance +0.065%
avec la cote maximale 6.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.27%15.41%15.63%17.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.255.946.006.8019.05%16.82%16.67%14.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.66%3.75cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.07%26.72%26.64%28.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.413.403.6131.25%29.30%29.41%27.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Juventude (Local) : 57.73% ; Athletic Club (MG) (Visiteur) : 15.61% ; Match nul : 26.66%. Pour Athletic Club (MG) (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.41. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.80, soit une espérance positive de +6.15%.
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.18%EV -13.40%E -8.93%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.27%EV +6.15%E +0.905%K +1.06%G +0.065% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.27%EV +4.90%E +0.729%K +0.857%G +0.042% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.56%EV -3.77%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.54%EV +0.375%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.02%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.61%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -2.43%E -0.390%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 20:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 20:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.79%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.60%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -14.70%E -4.59%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.57%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.57%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 20:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.48%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.46%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 20:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -8.20%E -5.16%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.87%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.26%EV -10.51%E -6.78%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.89%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.26%EV -10.51%E -6.78%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.89%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.62% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28% | 0.4% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |