StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Juventude v Athletic Club (MG)

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-13 21:00 UTC

Endstand: Juventude 0–2 Athletic Club (MG)

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

44 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Juventude (Heim)

Prognose 57.73%1.73faire Quote
EV -6.47%
Vorteil -3.99%
Kelly -10.44%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.62

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.88%57.87%57.73%60.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.601.611.6266.67%62.64%62.11%61.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Athletic Club (MG) (Auswärts)

Prognose 15.61%6.41faire Quote
EV +6.15%
Vorteil +0.905%
Kelly +1.06%
Wachstum +0.065%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.27%15.41%15.63%17.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.255.946.006.8019.05%16.82%16.67%14.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.66%3.75faire Quote
EV -3.77%
Vorteil -1.04%
Kelly -1.45%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.07%26.72%26.64%28.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.413.403.6131.25%29.30%29.41%27.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Juventude (Heim): 57.73%; Athletic Club (MG) (Auswärts): 15.61%; Unentschieden: 26.66%. Für Athletic Club (MG) (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.41. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.80 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +6.15%.

Wettanbieterquoten (44 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.18%EV -13.40%E -8.93%K -26.80%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.27%EV +6.15%E +0.905%K +1.06%G +0.065%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.27%EV +4.90%E +0.729%K +0.857%G +0.042%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.56%EV -3.77%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 20:45
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 20:45
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.54%EV +0.375%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.02%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 20:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.61%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -2.43%E -0.390%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 20:55
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 20:54
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 20:54
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.79%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 20:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 20:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.60%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -14.70%E -4.59%K -6.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 20:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 20:45
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.57%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:50
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.57%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.48%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.46%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 20:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 20:50
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -8.20%E -5.16%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:55
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.87%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.26%EV -10.51%E -6.78%K -19.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.89%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-13 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.26%EV -10.51%E -6.78%K -19.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.89%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-13 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 20:45
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 20:45
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 20:45
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 20:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.62%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-09-13 20:55