语言:简体中文
Juventude v Athletic Club (MG)
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Juventude (主队)
预测 57.73%1.73公平赔率
EV -6.47%
优势 -3.99%
Kelly -10.44%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.62
博彩公司预测分布
55.88%57.87%57.73%60.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.601.611.6266.67%62.64%62.11%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
Athletic Club (MG) (客队)
预测 15.61%6.41公平赔率
EV +6.15%
优势 +0.905%
Kelly +1.06%
增长率 +0.065%
假设最高赔率为 6.80
博彩公司预测分布
13.27%15.41%15.63%17.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.255.946.006.8019.05%16.82%16.67%14.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.66%3.75公平赔率
EV -3.77%
优势 -1.04%
Kelly -1.45%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.61
博彩公司预测分布
26.07%26.72%26.64%28.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.413.403.6131.25%29.30%29.41%27.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Juventude (主队)：57.73%；Athletic Club (MG) (客队)：15.61%；平局：26.66%。 对于“Athletic Club (MG) (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.41。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.80，对应+6.15%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.18%EV -13.40%E -8.93%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.27%EV +6.15%E +0.905%K +1.06%G +0.065% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.27%EV +4.90%E +0.729%K +0.857%G +0.042% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.56%EV -3.77%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.54%EV +0.375%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.02%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.61%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -2.43%E -0.390%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 20:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -4.78%E -0.783%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 20:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.79%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.60%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -14.70%E -4.59%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.57%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.57%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 20:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.48%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.46%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 20:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -8.20%E -5.16%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.87%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.26%EV -10.51%E -6.78%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.89%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.26%EV -10.51%E -6.78%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.89%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 20:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.62% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28% | 0.4% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.77% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-13 20:55 |