Oddsskolan

Grêmio Novorizontino v Vila Nova

Matchstart: 2026-06-26 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Grêmio Novorizontino 2–1 Vila Nova

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Hemma)

Prognos 50.31%1.99rättvist odds
EV -2.39%
Fördel -1.23%
Kelly -2.54%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.94

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.63%50.33%50.27%53.06%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.701.841.831.9458.82%54.21%54.64%51.55%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Vila Nova (Borta)

Prognos 21.40%4.67rättvist odds
EV +2.09%
Fördel +0.439%
Kelly +0.555%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.61%21.39%21.39%24.03%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.654.194.204.7727.40%23.88%23.81%20.96%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.28%3.54rättvist odds
EV -3.55%
Fördel -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.41

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.33%28.28%28.34%30.44%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.803.213.203.4135.71%31.13%31.25%29.33%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -8.93%E -4.94%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.61%EV +2.09%E +0.439%K +0.555%G +0.012%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.70%EV -7.80%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 21:49
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -8.93%E -4.94%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 21:50
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -8.93%E -4.94%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 21:50
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 21:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 21:28
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -14.47%E -8.51%K -20.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-26 21:39
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.97%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.92%EV -1.97%E -0.431%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 21:49
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 21:49
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 21:49
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 21:29
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.89%EV -8.43%E -4.63%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 21:49
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-26 21:30
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 21:49
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 21:49
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 21:49
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 21:40
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 21:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 21:39
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -7.32%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 21:50
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 21:29
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-26 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-26 21:29
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 21:40
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 21:29
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-26 21:39
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-26 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.27%EV -12.96%E -7.49%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.44%EV -20.81%E -7.43%K -11.56%G +0.000%17.3%2026-06-26 21:29
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-26 21:39
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-26 21:29
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:29
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:30
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -2.39%E -1.23%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 21:29
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:30
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:29
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:29
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:29
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:29
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:30
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -18.67%E -4.91%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-26 21:29
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -19.74%E -5.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-26 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.79%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -19.74%E -5.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:29
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -20.81%E -5.62%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-26 21:29
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -21.88%E -5.99%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-26 21:30
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -21.88%E -5.99%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-26 21:29
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -21.88%E -5.99%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-26 21:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-06-26 21:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-06-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-06-26 21:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-06-26 21:50
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.08%1.8%2026-06-26 21:49