مدرسة الاحتمالات

Grêmio Novorizontino v Vila Nova

البداية: 2026-06-26 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Grêmio Novorizontino 2–1 Vila Nova

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.31%1.99السعر العادل
EV -2.39%
الأفضلية -1.23%
Kelly -2.54%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.94

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.63%50.33%50.27%53.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.841.831.9458.82%54.21%54.64%51.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Vila Nova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.40%4.67السعر العادل
EV +2.09%
الأفضلية +0.439%
Kelly +0.555%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.61%21.39%21.39%24.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.654.194.204.7727.40%23.88%23.81%20.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.28%3.54السعر العادل
EV -3.55%
الأفضلية -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.33%28.28%28.34%30.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.213.203.4135.71%31.13%31.25%29.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -8.93%E -4.94%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.61%EV +2.09%E +0.439%K +0.555%G +0.012%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.70%EV -7.80%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 21:49
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -8.93%E -4.94%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 21:50
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -8.93%E -4.94%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 21:50
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 21:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 21:28
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -14.47%E -8.51%K -20.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-26 21:39
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.97%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.92%EV -1.97%E -0.431%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 21:49
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 21:49
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 21:49
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 21:29
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.89%EV -8.43%E -4.63%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 21:49
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-26 21:30
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 21:49
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 21:49
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 21:49
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 21:40
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 21:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 21:39
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -7.32%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 21:50
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 21:29
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-26 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-26 21:29
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 21:40
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 21:29
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-26 21:39
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-26 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.27%EV -12.96%E -7.49%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.44%EV -20.81%E -7.43%K -11.56%G +0.000%17.3%2026-06-26 21:29
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-26 21:39
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-26 21:29
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:29
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:30
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -2.39%E -1.23%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 21:29
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:30
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:29
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:29
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:29
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:29
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:30
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -18.67%E -4.91%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-26 21:29
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -19.74%E -5.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-26 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.79%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -19.74%E -5.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:29
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -20.81%E -5.62%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-26 21:29
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -21.88%E -5.99%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-26 21:30
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -21.88%E -5.99%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-26 21:29
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -21.88%E -5.99%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-26 21:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-06-26 21:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-06-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-06-26 21:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-06-26 21:50
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.08%1.8%2026-06-26 21:49