Szkoła Kursów

Grêmio Novorizontino v Vila Nova

Początek: 2026-06-26 22:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Grêmio Novorizontino 2–1 Vila Nova

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

48 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 50.31%1.99kurs godziwy
EV -2.39%
Przewaga -1.23%
Kelly -2.54%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.94

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.63%50.33%50.27%53.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.701.841.831.9458.82%54.21%54.64%51.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Vila Nova (Goście)

Prognoza 21.40%4.67kurs godziwy
EV +2.09%
Przewaga +0.439%
Kelly +0.555%
Wzrost +0.012%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.77

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.61%21.39%21.39%24.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.654.194.204.7727.40%23.88%23.81%20.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.28%3.54kurs godziwy
EV -3.55%
Przewaga -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.41

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.33%28.28%28.34%30.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.213.203.4135.71%31.13%31.25%29.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -8.93%E -4.94%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.61%EV +2.09%E +0.439%K +0.555%G +0.012%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.70%EV -7.80%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 21:49
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -8.93%E -4.94%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 21:50
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -8.93%E -4.94%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 21:50
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 21:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 21:28
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -14.47%E -8.51%K -20.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-26 21:39
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.97%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.92%EV -1.97%E -0.431%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 21:49
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 21:49
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 21:49
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 21:29
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.89%EV -8.43%E -4.63%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 21:49
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-26 21:30
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 21:49
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 21:49
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 21:49
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 21:40
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 21:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 21:39
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -7.32%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 21:50
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 21:29
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-26 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-26 21:29
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 21:40
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 21:29
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-26 21:39
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-26 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.27%EV -12.96%E -7.49%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.44%EV -20.81%E -7.43%K -11.56%G +0.000%17.3%2026-06-26 21:29
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-26 21:39
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-26 21:29
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:29
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:30
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -2.39%E -1.23%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 21:29
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:30
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:29
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:29
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:29
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:29
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 21:30
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -18.67%E -4.91%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-26 21:29
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -19.74%E -5.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-26 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.79%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -19.74%E -5.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 21:29
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -20.81%E -5.62%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-26 21:29
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -21.88%E -5.99%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-26 21:30
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -21.88%E -5.99%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-26 21:29
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -21.88%E -5.99%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-26 21:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-06-26 21:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-06-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-06-26 21:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-06-26 21:50
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.08%1.8%2026-06-26 21:49