La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Grêmio Novorizontino v Vila Nova
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Grêmio Novorizontino (Casa)
Previsione 50.31%1.99quota equa
EV -2.39%
Vantaggio -1.23%
Kelly -2.54%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.63%50.33%50.27%53.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.841.831.9458.82%54.21%54.64%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Vila Nova (Trasferta)
Previsione 21.40%4.67quota equa
EV +2.09%
Vantaggio +0.439%
Kelly +0.555%
Crescita +0.012%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.77
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.61%21.39%21.39%24.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.654.194.204.7727.40%23.88%23.81%20.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.28%3.54quota equa
EV -3.55%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.41
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.33%28.28%28.34%30.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.213.203.4135.71%31.13%31.25%29.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -8.93%E -4.94%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.61%EV +2.09%E +0.439%K +0.555%G +0.012% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.70%EV -7.80%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -8.93%E -4.94%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-26 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -8.93%E -4.94%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-26 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-26 21:28 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -14.47%E -8.51%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.97%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.92%EV -1.97%E -0.431%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-26 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-26 21:49 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-26 21:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.89%EV -8.43%E -4.63%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-26 21:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-26 21:30 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-26 21:49 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-26 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-26 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-26 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-26 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-26 21:40 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -7.32%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-26 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-26 21:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.27%EV -12.96%E -7.49%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.44%EV -20.81%E -7.43%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-26 21:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.44%E -5.24%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-26 21:30 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -2.39%E -1.23%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-26 21:30 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.23%EV -2.90%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-26 21:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -18.67%E -4.91%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -19.74%E -5.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.79%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -19.74%E -5.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -20.81%E -5.62%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -21.88%E -5.99%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-26 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -21.88%E -5.99%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-26 21:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -21.88%E -5.99%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-26 21:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 21:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 21:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.08% | 1.8% | 2026-06-26 21:49 |