Language:English
Grêmio Novorizontino v Avai
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Prediction 63.43%1.58fair odd
EV -6.13%
Edge -4.14%
Kelly -12.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.66%63.39%63.32%64.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.441.4871.43%69.19%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avai (Visit)
Prediction 13.55%7.38fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.239%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 7.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.90%13.64%13.56%16.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.667.007.2718.18%15.01%14.29%13.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.03%4.34fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.504%
Kelly -0.659%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.04%22.97%23.12%24.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.974.004.2526.67%25.16%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grêmio Novorizontino (Local): 63.43%; Avai (Visit): 13.55%; Draw: 23.03%. For Avai (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 7.27, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -18.71%E -3.12%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.96%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -1.50%E -0.206%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.10%EV -6.28%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 07:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:53 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 04:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.38%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.03%EV -3.13%E -0.437%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.48%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.05%EV -3.80%E -0.536%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.91%EV -10.58%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.91%EV -10.58%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.59%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.59%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -1.77%E -0.244%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -1.77%E -0.244%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 07:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 02:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-01 19:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 05:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.50%EV -16.00%E -2.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.70%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.01%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.55%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.87%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.84%EV -10.57%E -7.50%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.84%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 06:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-03 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -15.32%E -2.45%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -15.32%E -2.45%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.78% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.64% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60% | 72.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60% | 72.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60% | 72.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |