Langue:Français
Grêmio Novorizontino v Avai
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Prévision 63.43%1.58cote équitable
EV -6.13%
Avantage -4.14%
Kelly -12.77%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.66%63.39%63.32%64.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.441.4871.43%69.19%69.44%67.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Avai (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.55%7.38cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.206%
Kelly -0.239%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 7.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.90%13.64%13.56%16.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.667.007.2718.18%15.01%14.29%13.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 23.03%4.34cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.504%
Kelly -0.659%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.04%22.97%23.12%24.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.753.974.004.2526.67%25.16%25.00%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Grêmio Novorizontino (Local) : 63.43% ; Avai (Visiteur) : 13.55% ; Match nul : 23.03%. Pour Avai (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.38. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 7.27, pour une espérance de -1.50% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -18.71%E -3.12%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.96%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -1.50%E -0.206%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.10%EV -6.28%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 07:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:53 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 04:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.38%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.03%EV -3.13%E -0.437%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.48%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.05%EV -3.80%E -0.536%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.91%EV -10.58%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.91%EV -10.58%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.59%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.59%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -1.77%E -0.244%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -1.77%E -0.244%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 07:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 02:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-01 19:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 05:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.50%EV -16.00%E -2.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.70%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.01%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.55%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.87%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.84%EV -10.57%E -7.50%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.84%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 06:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-03 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -15.32%E -2.45%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -15.32%E -2.45%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.78% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.64% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60% | 72.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60% | 72.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60% | 72.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |