语言:简体中文
Grêmio Novorizontino v Avai
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Grêmio Novorizontino (主队)
预测 63.43%1.58公平赔率
EV -6.13%
优势 -4.14%
Kelly -12.77%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.48
博彩公司预测分布
61.66%63.39%63.32%64.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.451.441.4871.43%69.19%69.44%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
Avai (客队)
预测 13.55%7.38公平赔率
EV -1.50%
优势 -0.206%
Kelly -0.239%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 7.27
博彩公司预测分布
12.90%13.64%13.56%16.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.667.007.2718.18%15.01%14.29%13.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.03%4.34公平赔率
EV -2.14%
优势 -0.504%
Kelly -0.659%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.25
博彩公司预测分布
22.04%22.97%23.12%24.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.753.974.004.2526.67%25.16%25.00%23.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Grêmio Novorizontino (主队)：63.43%；Avai (客队)：13.55%；平局：23.03%。 对于“Avai (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.38。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为7.27，期望值为-1.50%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -18.71%E -3.12%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.96%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -1.50%E -0.206%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.10%EV -6.28%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 07:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:53 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 04:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.38%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.03%EV -3.13%E -0.437%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.48%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.05%EV -3.80%E -0.536%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.91%EV -10.58%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.91%EV -10.58%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.59%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.59%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -1.77%E -0.244%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -1.77%E -0.244%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 07:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 02:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-01 19:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 05:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.50%EV -16.00%E -2.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.70%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.01%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.55%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.87%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.84%EV -10.57%E -7.50%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.84%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 06:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-03 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -15.32%E -2.45%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -15.32%E -2.45%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.78% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.64% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60% | 72.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60% | 72.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60% | 72.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |