StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Grêmio Novorizontino v Avai

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-05 19:00 UTC

Endstand: Grêmio Novorizontino 3–1 Avai

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

49 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Grêmio Novorizontino (Heim)

Prognose 63.43%1.58faire Quote
EV -6.13%
Vorteil -4.14%
Kelly -12.77%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.48

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
61.66%63.39%63.32%64.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.401.451.441.4871.43%69.19%69.44%67.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Avai (Auswärts)

Prognose 13.55%7.38faire Quote
EV -1.50%
Vorteil -0.206%
Kelly -0.239%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.27

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
12.90%13.64%13.56%16.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.506.667.007.2718.18%15.01%14.29%13.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.03%4.34faire Quote
EV -2.14%
Vorteil -0.504%
Kelly -0.659%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.04%22.97%23.12%24.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.753.974.004.2526.67%25.16%25.00%23.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Grêmio Novorizontino (Heim): 63.43%; Avai (Auswärts): 13.55%; Unentschieden: 23.03%. Für Avai (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.38. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 7.27, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.50%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:00
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -18.71%E -3.12%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 11:30
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.96%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -1.50%E -0.206%K -0.239%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.10%EV -6.28%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 07:40
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 10:55
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 10:54
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 10:53
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 10:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 10:54
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 04:15
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.38%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.03%EV -3.13%E -0.437%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:35
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 07:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.48%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.05%EV -3.80%E -0.536%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.91%EV -10.58%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.91%EV -10.58%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 15:05
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.59%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 08:00
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.59%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 08:00
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -1.77%E -0.244%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 06:15
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -1.77%E -0.244%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 06:15
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 07:34
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 02:45
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-01 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 11:54
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 12:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 12:39
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 10:55
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 05:35
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 05:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.50%EV -16.00%E -2.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 07:59
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 11:29
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 11:29
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 06:15
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.70%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.01%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 10:50
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.55%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 06:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.87%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 10:54
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.84%EV -10.57%E -7.50%K -25.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.84%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 10:55
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 06:14
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-01 06:15
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-03 19:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -15.32%E -2.45%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-04 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -15.32%E -2.45%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-04 10:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.46I 68.49%NM 63.78%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%7.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 63.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.64%12.8%2026-09-04 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36%7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04%1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60%72.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36%7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04%1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60%72.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36%7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04%1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60%72.8%2026-09-04 14:35